Nearly 250,000 people left London before the 23rd March Lockdown
Compared to 135,000 who left Birmingham for elsewhere in the West Midlands and with relatively little net outflow from Manchester
More than 55% of Britons stayed at home on Easter Monday
That is 2.5 times greater than before the coronavirus outbreak
UK population movement drops by 87%
Movement has been steadily falling since 17th March
Population movement stayed low during the extended Easter weekend
This was most likely due to the good weather on Saturday
Population flows between regions drop by 63 percent
Less pronounced drop in population flows compared with population movement
Last week, the best time to go to supermarkets was on Tuesday at 9am
Shopping trips shift from evenings to mornings
Hospital visits have dropped by 65%
Despite the surge in ICU demand, people avoided hospital visits
Visits to public parks in the UK dropped 23%
Movement in parks has decreased less than elsewhere
Heightened COVID mortality risk for 19 million people
Risk rank based on age, respiratory disease and cardiovascular conditions
We expect the peak of infections for the UK in the first week of April
We use NHS data to provide a forecast of the number of daily confirmed cases